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Notes 1.1
Marine Science
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Directions
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Review
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Introduction
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Marine
Science
- Scientific
Method
- Observation
- Ways
of Thinking
- Hypotheses
and Testing
- Theory
- Limitations
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Scientific
Method
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Scientific Method
- The scientific method
is a process that tests possible answers to questions about nature
that have been formulated from careful observations
- Answers supported
by the results of these tests are then added to the scientific record
Attributes of the
Method
- The scientific method
is used by scientists to insure that the answers to their questions
are based on objective evidence and verifiable
- Ideas must be testable
and therefore cannot deal with things that are supernatural because
they are not testable
Common Elements
- Observing nature
- Asking a question
- Proposing a hypothesis
- Designing a test
- Making Predictions
- Conducting the test
- Analyzing the results
- Drawing conclusions
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Observation
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Observing Nature
- Gathering information
using the raw senses or using equipment
- Keeping careful records
of observations
Asking a Question
- What causes something
to happen?
- How will something
affect something else?
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Ways
of Thinking
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Induction
- Starting with a number
of separate observations one can arrive at general principles
- Jumping to conclusions
Deduction
- Starting with a general
principle one can derive specific conclusions
- Making predictions
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Hypotheses and Testing
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Proposing
a Hypothesis
- A hypothesis is
a tentative explanation which answers the original question and
can be supported or refuted when tested
- Hypothesis generation
uses inductive reasoning to jump to conclusions (reasoning from
particular facts to a general conclusion)
Designing a Test
- Most scientists design experiments to test their hypothesis
Making Predictions
- Often in the form of an if/then statement: If the hypothesis is
true, then such-and-such will occur
- Uses deductive reasoning (reasoning from the general to the specific)
Conducting the
Test
- Performing the experiment and collecting data, or little facts,
that will support or refute the hypothesis
Analyzing the
Results
- Assembling and describing data
Drawing Conclusions
- The data does/does not bear out the predictions
- The data does/does not support the hypothesis
- The data acts as additional observations for asking new questions
and proposing new hypotheses
Multiple Working
Hypotheses
- A set of alternative explanations: H1, H2, H3, etc.
- Each one can explain the observations and is supported by tests
but none can be chosen over any other
- Further testing may refute some or all of them
Strong Inference
- After rigorous testing that involves trying to refute all the
working hypotheses one hypothesis may remain
- One can strongly infer that the remaining hypothesis is correct
Strong Science
- Whenever you design an experiment to test a hypothesis, try to
think of the experiment that would disprove it.
- If you cannot you may be able to make a strong inference.
Null Hypothesis
- The null hypothesis is the hypothesis of no difference or nothing
happening, H0
Strong Hypothesis
- The null hypothesis is a strong alternative hypothesis because
when you reject a null hypothesis the alternatives all indicate
a difference or something happening.
- Since there is no positive proof, scientific advances are made
by the rejection of null hypotheses.
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Theory
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Theory
- A hypothesis that
has been supported by many different repeatable tests and seems to
have no major inconsistencies
- It is the surviving
hypothesis of a group of multiple working hypotheses
- A theory can also
be used to predict behavior
Basic Properties of
Nature
- Scientists assume
that the natural world has some basic underlying properties
- Theories attempt to
describe these properties
- Since theories can
never be proved beyond all doubt these basic properties can never
be known with total certainty
Unifying Theory
- Explains many seemingly
unconnected phenomena because it describes a basic underlying property
of nature
- Can be used to predict
many outcomes
- It unifies a field
of study Examples: Plate Tectonics, Evolution, Relativity
Scientific Laws
- Unifying theories
that are accepted by just about all scientists
- Ex. Law of Gravity
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Limitations
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Scientific Bias
- Scientists may let
personal biases affect their thinking
Ideas Must be Testable
- Science cannot deal
with things that are supernatural because they are not testable
Science Cannot Pass
Judgement
- Values, ethics and
morality are outside the relm of science
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